The Knicks Are Off to a Respectable Begin. Is This a Drill?

The final time the Knicks received at the very least half of their first 10 video games was in the course of the 2017-18 season, once they had been 6-4. They completed the marketing campaign 29-53.

This season, the Knicks began 5-5, and a few followers are daring to hope that possibly this Knicks workforce is totally different. Possibly this one can break the playoff-less streak that started in 2013-14. The dangerous information is that the season is headed within the fallacious course. The Knicks have dropped three in a row to place them at 5-6, with a number of blowout defeats.

Coach Tom Thibodeau has this workforce taking part in onerous, and the Knicks have crushed good opponents, together with the Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks. Coming into the Charlotte Hornets recreation on Monday, the Knicks had the eighth greatest protection within the league. They’re now all the way down to thirteenth after shedding to Charlotte, 109-88.

The Knicks haven’t fielded a top-10 defensive workforce because the 2011-12 season, when their fifth-ranked protection took them to the playoffs. The unlucky flip aspect: This yr’s workforce has one of many league’s worst offenses.

The Knicks have additionally struggled with accidents: Alec Burks, Austin Rivers and Obi Toppin have all missed time — three offensive-minded gamers.

One thing the Knicks have of their favor is that this season has produced plenty of unusual outcomes, and never only for them. Night time after night time, partly due to the shortened season, no crowds, the pandemic and minimal time in coaching camp, plenty of groups are shedding massive or to opponents who didn’t appear to be threats. Some groups, just like the Toronto Raptors (2-8), who’re based mostly in Florida due to the virus, are underperforming. A number of high gamers, like Boston’s Jayson Tatum and the Nets’ Kevin Durant, have missed a number of video games as a result of they examined optimistic for, or had been doubtlessly uncovered to, the coronavirus.

The shortened season helps the Knicks in one other approach. Banking wins early on provides them cushion in opposition to the losses which can be nearly unavoidable because the season grinds on. However it’s nonetheless early, as Knicks followers realized in 2018.

Here’s a have a look at what’s gone proper and fallacious for the Knicks to date.

The most important purpose the Knicks have been aggressive this yr is Julius Randle, who has began off robust. Randle is averaging 22.1 factors, 11.2 rebounds and 6.9 assists per recreation — all on tempo to be profession highs — on 49.4 % capturing. He’s averaging extra assists this yr than his final two years mixed. If he retains this up, Randle ought to deservedly make his first All-Star workforce.

He appears to be like extra comfy on the ground, and Thibodeau has been adept at profiting from Randle’s versatility — for instance, ensuring he’s getting the ball on totally different elements of the court docket, moderately than merely attempting to bulldoze opponents within the put up. Randle is expert at creating for his teammates. The difficulty is that the Knicks don’t have many playmakers or shooters round him to ease his burden.

RJ Barrett, 20, is taking part in lots of minutes this yr — 37.9 minutes per recreation, vs. 30.4 his rookie yr. Barrett is, nevertheless, capturing a dismal 36.5 % from the sphere and 18 % from deep, each down from his rookie yr, when he additionally struggled.

Watching the video games, you’ll be able to see Barrett’s enchancment in different areas. He performs extra aggressively, has developed into a powerful rebounder (7.6 rebounds per recreation for a guard is spectacular) and has improved his passing. He’s a stable defender.

The consistency is just not there, although, and the inefficiency is problematic: Barrett is averaging extra photographs than factors. On opening night time, Barrett shot 11-of-15 from the sphere for 26 factors in opposition to the Indiana Pacers. The following recreation, in opposition to the Philadelphia 76ers, Barrett shot 2-of-15 from the sphere for 10 factors. After which he shot poorly once more for the following three video games.

His lack of ability to shoot places extra strain on Randle. Barrett is making solely 26.5 % of his photographs when there isn’t a defender inside six toes of him. He’s additionally hitting solely 17.4 % when he catches the ball and shoots it.

However Barrett continues to be impactful for the Knicks, regardless of his scoring woes. His web ranking (primarily a measure of how significantly better or worse a workforce is with a participant on the ground) is minus 2.8. This isn’t best, however it’s among the many greatest on the workforce amongst those that obtain severe minutes. When Barrett isn’t on the ground, the Knicks’ web ranking is minus 13.8. That’s an even bigger hole than the one for Randle, who’s their greatest participant.

It’s nearly time for the Knicks to decide to an extension with Mitchell Robinson, who’s now in his third yr. It’s troublesome to gauge his true worth. He’s a extra conventional middle who can’t unfold the ground and largely will get his factors on dunks.

And like Barrett, Robinson is a combined bag.

Via 11 video games, Robinson’s manufacturing in a number of classes has decreased whilst he has performed extra minutes (30.1) than ordinary, although the additional time appears to have given him room to seize extra rebounds than earlier than (8.1 per recreation). He’s additionally under his per-game profession averages in blocks (1.9) and field-goal proportion (68.2 %; nonetheless very environment friendly).

The most important enchancment for Robinson is that he’s been capable of keep on the ground. Earlier than this yr, he struggled with foul hassle, however now he doesn’t leap for up-fakes as usually, making it more durable for defenders to attract fouls. That was his greatest weak spot. Now, not a lot.

The Knicks don’t have many gamers who can break down defenses, which is what makes Elfrid Payton important for Thibodeau. The Knicks lower him within the low season and re-signed him to an inexpensive one-year deal. He’s in all probability not part of the Knicks’ future plans. However he has been a gentle, veteran presence on the ground, which they’ve wanted.

He’s not a lot of a shooter, however he’s expert at entering into the paint. This yr, he’s scoring above his profession common with 14.5 factors a recreation, and is tallying 4.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per recreation.

Payton, 26, now in his seventh season, additionally doesn’t make many errors on the ground. For probably the most half, he stays inside himself and takes care of the ball. (His turnover proportion is an below-average 14 % this season.) He’ll almost certainly by no means be a starter on a championship workforce, however he’s been a pleasant pickup for the Knicks.

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