GEOFFROY VAN DER HASSELT | AFP | Getty Pictures
“I believe our final projections in December are nonetheless very clearly believable,” President Christine Lagarde stated at a Reuters occasion on Wednesday.
In December, the financial institution estimated a 3.9% GDP (gross home product) price for 2021, after a contraction of seven.3% in 2020. The official and closing studying for 2020 is just not but identified.
Nonetheless, because the publication of those forecasts final month, many European governments have introduced powerful new lockdowns or an extension of current restrictions.
The Netherlands introduced Tuesday a lockdown till Feb. 9. Germany, in lockdown since November, is contemplating extending it for one more eight to 10 weeks. Austria stays closed till late January. France has intensified its curfew and Portugal is considering a brand new lockdown too.
These measures comply with an uptick in circumstances and deaths from Covid-19 because the Christmas interval, in some circumstances the brand new figures are worse than in the course of the first wave within the spring of 2020.
“Vital restrictions will stay in place properly past January. In some international locations, a gradual re-opening could begin at a while in February. In others, that won’t occur earlier than March,” Florian Hense, a euro zone economist at Berenberg, stated in an e-mail on Wednesday.
Nonetheless, the primary concern for Lagarde is what occurs after March.
“What could be a priority could be that after the tip of March, these member states nonetheless have to have lockdown measures and if, for example, vaccination packages have been slowed down,” Lagarde stated, in keeping with Reuters.
The longer the lockdowns proceed, the better the impression on the economies that share the one forex.
The euro zone started vaccinating residents simply earlier than 2020 got here to an finish, however the rollout has been embroiled in some controversy. Critics argue that the deployment of Covid-19 jabs has been too sluggish, and that there aren’t sufficient vaccines.
Nonetheless, the European Fee — which has negotiated contracts with vaccine producers — has denied these accusations.
Lagarde’s ECB has, from the beginning of the pandemic, introduced unprecedented emergency measures to assist the euro space. Its bond-buying stimulus program (PEPP) is at the moment set to final till March 2022, totaling some 1.85 trillion euros ($2.25 trillion).
Talking Wednesday, Lagarde stated the ECB might lengthen this program as soon as once more if wanted.